Chase Brown
CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
What's different tonight
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Joe Burrow led CIN in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 3.5 with Burrow at quarterback: 13 of 29; with another CIN quarterback: 4 of 15
Defense vs running backs
ATL allow 5.4 receptions a game to running backs: 5th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 6 targets · 2026: 6 (7 games)
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 16% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs TEN
Game log against Over 3.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 4.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −106
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 5.5
- 10 games · 5.2 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8354 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2454 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1065 books | −1063 books | 6/10 | |
| +1954 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3704 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +6504 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +11001 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −106Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −106Best | −137 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −106Best | — |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −122 | −106 |
| Bovada3 min ago | −125 | −105Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over −140 → −106 since first seen