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Chase Brown

Cincinnati Bengals · RB · #30

CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price −1555 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Quarterback

    Joe Burrow led CIN in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 0.5 with Burrow at quarterback: 15 of 30; with another CIN quarterback: 2 of 16

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 18 carries + targets · 2026: 19.4 (7 games)

    Target share: 16% last 3 games · 16% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs TEN

  • Game lines

    CIN −3 · total 52.5 (9 sportsbooks)

    CIN's games this season closed at 46.8 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 0.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

  1. at MIA, 2025-12-21: 3, cleared, 16 carries + targets
  2. vs ARI, 2025-12-28: 2, cleared, 25 carries + targets
  3. vs CLE, 2026-01-04: 1, cleared, 19 carries + targets
  4. vs TB, 2026-09-13: 1, cleared, 22 carries + targets
  5. at HOU, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 25 carries + targets
  6. at PIT, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 15 carries + targets
  7. vs JAX, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 20 carries + targets
  8. at MIA, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 17 carries + targets
  9. at BAL, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 16 carries + targets
  10. vs TEN, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 21 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
61%
at −155
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
19.6
10 games · 18.8 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1555 bookspick'em only4/10
+3405 books—2/10
+13004 books—1/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bally Bet1 min ago−155Best—
betPARX1 min ago−155Best—
BetRivers1 min ago−155Best—
FanDuel1 min ago−165—
Bovada1 min ago−173—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:23 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −152 → −155 since first seen

Chase Brown's full game log and splits