Chase Brown
CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
Game log against Over 21.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 21.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Joe Burrow led CIN in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 21.5 with Burrow at quarterback: 13 of 29; with another CIN quarterback: 8 of 15
Defense vs running backs
ATL allow 34.0 receiving yards a game to running backs: 13th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 6 targets · 2026: 6 (7 games)
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 16% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs TEN
Splits
Over 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 21.5
- Average
- 29
- +7.5 vs line
- Median
- 21.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −124
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 5.5
- 10 games · 5.2 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4901 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −2501 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1574 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1245 books | −1174 books | 5/10 | |
| −1201 book | −1101 book | 4/10 | |
| −1101 book | −1201 book | 4/10 | |
| +1141 book | — | 4/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 21.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 21.5 | Under 21.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel4 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Pinnacle3 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −124 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −124 | −117 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −124 | −117 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
21.519.5 → 21.5 since first seen