Brenton Strange
JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
What's different on Thursday
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickThuRest
3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week
Quarterback
Trevor Lawrence led JAX in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 0.5 with Lawrence at quarterback: 6 of 27; with another JAX quarterback: 0 of 9
Carries + targets
Last 3: 5.7 carries + targets · 2026: 5 (7 games)
Target share: 18% last 3 games · 17% over 7 games this season
Game lines
JAX −9.5 · total 40.5 (7 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.8 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 0.5
20%2 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 3 on the road).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
- Price implies
- 28%
- at +255
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 5.1
- 10 games · 5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2555 books | pick'em only | 2/10 | |
| +25005 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +120005 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | +255Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | +255Best | — |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +255Best | — |
| Bovada6 min ago | +240 | — |
| FanDuel5 min ago | +230 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over +225 → +255 since first seen