Brenton Strange
JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 35.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week
Quarterback
Trevor Lawrence led JAX in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 35.5 with Lawrence at quarterback: 14 of 27; with another JAX quarterback: 2 of 9
Defense vs tight ends
BAL allow 46.5 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 22nd most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 5 (7 games)
Target share: 18% last 3 games · 17% over 7 games this season
Game log against Over 35.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 35.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).
Count only
Over 35.5 · L10L10 · Over 35.5
- Average
- 44.9
- +9.4 vs line
- Median
- 48
- +12.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 5.1
- 10 games · 5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 35.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2601 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1674 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1173 books | −1122 books | 6/10 | |
| −1153 books | −1143 books | 6/10 | |
| +1204 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +2204 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +3904 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 35.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 35.5 | Under 35.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bovada7 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −116 | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
35.534.5 → 35.5 since first seen