Breece Hall

New York Jets · RB · #20

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under12.5

Over 12.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price +1003 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

90%9 of 10L10

Over 12.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).

at NE, 2025-11-13: 14, cleared, 14 carries
at BAL, 2025-11-23: 16, cleared, 16 carries
vs ATL, 2025-11-30: 19, cleared, 19 carries
vs MIA, 2025-12-07: 14, cleared, 14 carries
at JAX, 2025-12-14: 12, missed, 12 carries
at NO, 2025-12-21: 16, cleared, 16 carries
vs NE, 2025-12-28: 14, cleared, 14 carries
at TEN, 2026-09-13: 22, cleared, 22 carries
vs GB, 2026-09-20: 16, cleared, 16 carries
at DET, 2026-09-27: 13, cleared, 13 carries

ClearedMissedThe 12.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 9.4–19.6 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 5 of his last 5 came before Hall missed 5 games. Since he came back: Over 12.5 in no games.

SunBack from an absence
Sunday's game is his 1st back after missing 5 games in a row (Oct 4 – Nov 1)
Quarterback
Geno Smith led NYJ in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 12.5 with Smith at quarterback: 3 of 3; with another NYJ quarterback: 26 of 42
Defense vs running backs
KC allow 21.6 carries a game to running backs: 24th most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 17 carries · 2025: 15.2 (16 games)

Splits

Over 12.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 12.5

Average: 15.6; +3.1 vs line
Median: 15; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 50%; at +100
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −148

Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −148, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4203 books	—	10/10
−1553 books	—	10/10
+1003 books	−1291 book	9/10
+1483 books	—	8/10
+3003 books	—	5/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 12.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 12.5	Under 12.5
Bally Bet9 min ago	+100Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	+100Best	−129Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−103	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

No move since first seen