Bijan Robinson

Atlanta Falcons · RB · #7

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price −2105 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

vs NO, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 18 carries + targets
at PIT, 2026-09-13: 1, cleared, 31 carries + targets
vs CAR, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 20 carries + targets
at GB, 2026-09-24: 2, cleared, 31 carries + targets
at NO, 2026-10-05: 2, cleared, 21 carries + targets
vs BAL, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 24 carries + targets
vs CHI, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 11 carries + targets
vs SF, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 25 carries + targets
at TB, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 20 carries + targets
vs CIN, 2026-11-08: 1, cleared, 26 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Michael Penix Jr. led ATL in passing in 7 of 9 games this season
Also led: Cooper Rush 2. Over 0.5 with Penix at quarterback: 11 of 19; with another ATL quarterback: 16 of 32
Carries + targets
Last 3: 23.7 carries + targets · 2026: 23.2 (9 games)
Target share: 15% last 3 games · 16% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs CIN
Game lines
ATL +3.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
ATL's games this season closed at 46.3 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against KC in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs KC

Total Touchdowns: 1 in 18 carries + targets, Sep 22, 2024 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against KC on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 68%; at −210
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 22.7; 10 games · 22.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2105 books	pick'em only	4/10
+2855 books	—	2/10
+13004 books	—	0/10
+70001 book	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet16 min ago	−210Best	—
betPARX16 min ago	−210Best	—
BetRivers16 min ago	−210Best	—
Bovada16 min ago	−213	—
FanDuel16 min ago	−220	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen