Baker Mayfield
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
What's different on Sunday
Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunBack from an absence
Sunday's game is his 3rd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 4 – Oct 18)
Over 18.5 since: 0 of 2
SunDefense vs quarterbacks
CHI allow 17.9 completions a game to quarterbacks: 30th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 16 attempts · 2026: 22 (5 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ATL
Game log against Over 18.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 18.5 Completions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Splits
Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 18.5
- Average
- 16.8
- −1.7 vs line
- Median
- 17.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −130
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 26.6
- 10 games · 31.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 52%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1302 books | −1102 books | 4/10 | |
| +1073 books | −1371 book | 3/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 18.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 18.5 | Under 18.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada11 min ago | −120Best | −110 |
| Pinnacle12 min ago | −130 | −102Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
18.519.5 → 18.5 since first seen