Ashton Jeanty

Las Vegas Raiders · RB · #2

LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1124 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs NYG, 2025-12-28: 16, cleared, 16 carries
vs KC, 2026-01-04: 26, cleared, 26 carries
vs MIA, 2026-09-13: 23, cleared, 23 carries
at LAC, 2026-09-20: 21, cleared, 21 carries
at NO, 2026-09-27: 19, cleared, 19 carries
vs KC, 2026-10-04: 15, cleared, 15 carries
at NE, 2026-10-11: 10, cleared, 10 carries
vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 10, cleared, 10 carries
vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 8, missed, 8 carries
at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 2 carries

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 2.3–20.9 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunCarries
Last 3: 6.7 carries · 2026: 13.5 (8 games) · down 50%
Quarterback
Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 8.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 6 of 8; with another LV quarterback: 15 of 17
Defense vs running backs
SF allow 21.9 carries a game to running backs: 22nd most of 32
7 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at NYJ

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 15; +6.5 vs line
Median: 15.5; +7 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −147

Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −147, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7153 books	—	9/10
−1903 books	—	9/10
−1124 books	−1182 books	8/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	8/10
+1483 books	—	8/10
+3603 books	—	6/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−110Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−110Best	−118
BetRivers2 min ago	−112	—
Pinnacle5 min ago	−132	−101Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:53 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

7.5 → 8.5 since first seen