Ashton Jeanty

Las Vegas Raiders · RB · #2

LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM

Over Under27.5

Over 27.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1185 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 27.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs NYG, 2025-12-28: 60, cleared, 16 carries
vs KC, 2026-01-04: 87, cleared, 26 carries
vs MIA, 2026-09-13: 102, cleared, 23 carries
at LAC, 2026-09-20: 48, cleared, 21 carries
at NO, 2026-09-27: 56, cleared, 19 carries
vs KC, 2026-10-04: 58, cleared, 15 carries
at NE, 2026-10-11: 27, missed, 10 carries
vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 22, missed, 10 carries
vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 15, missed, 8 carries
at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 9, missed, 2 carries

ClearedMissedThe 27.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1.1–79.4 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 27.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunCarries
Last 3: 6.7 carries · 2026: 13.5 (8 games) · down 50%
Quarterback
Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 27.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 4 of 8; with another LV quarterback: 15 of 17
Defense vs running backs
SF allow 78.6 rushing yards a game to running backs: 24th most of 32
7 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at NYJ

Splits

Over 27.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 27.5

Average: 48.4; +20.9 vs line
Median: 52; +24.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −117

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −117, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1461 book	—	7/10
−1351 book	+1021 book	7/10
—	—	7/10
−1185 books	−1144 books	6/10
+1004 books	—	6/10
+2054 books	—	6/10
+3804 books	—	5/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 27.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 27.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 27.5	Under 27.5
FanDuel9 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bovada9 min ago	−115	−115
Bally Bet9 min ago	−118	—
betPARX9 min ago	−118	−110Best
BetRivers9 min ago	−120	−112
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:37 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

27.5

26.5 → 27.5 since first seen