Ashton Jeanty

Las Vegas Raiders · RB · #2

LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM

Over Under68.5

Over 68.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 68.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs NYG, 2025-12-28: 73, cleared, 18 carries + targets
vs KC, 2026-01-04: 94, cleared, 31 carries + targets
vs MIA, 2026-09-13: 147, cleared, 29 carries + targets
at LAC, 2026-09-20: 63, missed, 28 carries + targets
at NO, 2026-09-27: 93, cleared, 22 carries + targets
vs KC, 2026-10-04: 126, cleared, 23 carries + targets
at NE, 2026-10-11: 77, cleared, 16 carries + targets
vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 58, missed, 16 carries + targets
vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 76, cleared, 16 carries + targets
at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 73, cleared, 6 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 68.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 32.8–113.5 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 68.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunCarries + targets
Last 3: 12.7 carries + targets · 2026: 19.5 (8 games) · down 35%
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 16% over 8 games this season
Quarterback
Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 68.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 6 of 8; with another LV quarterback: 8 of 17
Defense vs running backs
SF allow 129.1 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 15th most of 32
7 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at NYJ

Splits

Over 68.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 68.5

Average: 88; +19.5 vs line
Median: 76.5; +8 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3603 books	—	10/10
−1173 books	−1132 books	8/10
−1151 book	−1131 book	8/10
−1154 books	−1143 books	8/10
+1183 books	—	6/10
+3503 books	—	2/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 68.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 68.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 68.5	Under 68.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−115Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−115Best	−113Best
Bovada5 min ago	−115Best	−115
BetRivers5 min ago	−117	−114
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

68.5

63.5 → 68.5 since first seen