Zion Williamson

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #1

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals, typical price +1384 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

at SAC, 2026-04-03: 1, missed, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 28 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 3, cleared, 32 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 33 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 32 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 5, cleared, 31 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 30 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 35 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 1, missed, 38 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 13; with him: 14 of 57 (70 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 3.3 steals a game to forwards: 13th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.2 min · 2026–27: 33 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Williamson didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; steals the last time Williamson faced them: 0 (Feb 6)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 2.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 42%; at +138
Books’ fair: 39%; margin removed
Minutes: 32.1; 10 games · 29.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 39%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3154 books	—	8/10
+1384 books	−1901 book	6/10
+4004 books	—	5/10
+9501 book	—	1/10
+19801 book	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	+138Best	—
betPARX2 min ago	+138Best	−190Best
BetRivers3 min ago	+138Best	—
DraftKings6 min ago	+114	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:32 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +116 → +138 since first seen

Zion Williamson's full game log and splits