Zion Williamson
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 2.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 7 of 13; with him: 33 of 57 (70 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 6.7 assists a game to forwards: 25th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.2 min · 2026–27: 33 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Williamson didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; assists the last time Williamson faced them: 1 (Feb 6)
Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 2.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −144
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 32.1
- 10 games · 29.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 55%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4601 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −1442 books | +1042 books | 4/10 | |
| +1752 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +3891 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +8302 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +16001 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +27001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings3 min ago | −137Best | +104 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −144 | +108Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over: −146 → −144 since first seen


