Zion Williamson

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #1

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under21.5

Over 21.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1185 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 21.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

at SAC, 2026-04-03: 16, missed, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 19, missed, 28 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 25, cleared, 32 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 25, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 19, missed, 33 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 27, cleared, 32 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 24, cleared, 31 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 19, missed, 30 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 29, cleared, 35 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 25, cleared, 38 min

ClearedMissedThe 21.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 21.5 without him: 11 of 13; with him: 38 of 57 (70 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33.2 min · 2026–27: 33 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Game lines
NO +4.5 · total 230.5 (8 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 21.5 cleared in 5 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 21.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Williamson didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+ast the last time Williamson faced them: 30 (Feb 6)

Over 21.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 21.5

Average: 22.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 24.5; +3 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Minutes: 32.1; 10 games · 29.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 52%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8002 books	—	10/10
−1825 books	—	6/10
−1651 book	+1251 book	6/10
−1185 books	−1063 books	6/10
−1053 books	−1252 books	6/10
+1555 books	—	5/10
+3805 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 21.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 21.5	Under 21.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−117Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−117Best	−115
BetRivers3 min ago	−118	—
FanDuel3 min ago	−125	−106
Bovada3 min ago	−130	+100Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:40 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

−128 → −118 since first seen

Zion Williamson's full game log and splits