Zion Williamson
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 8.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).
What's different today
Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 8.5 without him: 5 of 13; with him: 29 of 57 (70 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33.2 min · 2026–27: 33 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Game lines
NO +4.5 · total 230.5 (6 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 8.5 · L10Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Williamson didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; reb+ast the last time Williamson faced them: 5 (Feb 6)
Over 8.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 8.5
- Average
- 8
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 7.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 49%
- at +104
- Books’ fair
- 45%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 32.1
- 10 games · 29.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 45%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2501 book | +1851 book | 7/10 | |
| −1462 books | +1102 books | 5/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 | |
| +1045 books | −1413 books | 4/10 | |
| +1634 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +4751 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +16001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | +110Best | −145 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +104 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | +104 | −141 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +104 | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +102 | −136Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.5No move since first seen


