Zion Williamson
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 18.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 18.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
What's different today
Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 18.5 without him: 11 of 13; with him: 38 of 57 (70 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 38.0 points a game to forwards: 24th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.2 min · 2026–27: 33 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Splits
Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 18.5 cleared in 5 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 18.5 · L10Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Williamson didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; points the last time Williamson faced them: 29 (Feb 6)
Over 18.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 18.5
- Average
- 20.2
- +1.7 vs line
- Median
- 22
- +3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 32.1
- 10 games · 29.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 52%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2751 book | +2001 book | 8/10 | |
| −2001 book | +1501 book | 8/10 | |
| −1602 books | +1201 book | 6/10 | |
| −1252 books | −1052 books | 6/10 | |
| +1002 books | −1301 book | 6/10 | |
| +1251 book | −1651 book | 6/10 | |
| +1551 book | −2101 book | 6/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 18.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 18.5 | Under 18.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings9 min ago | −122Best | −104Best |
| Bovada9 min ago | −125 | −105 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
18.5−118 → −125 since first seen


