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Will Richard

Golden State Warriors · G · #3

MIA @ GS · Thu, Nov 5 10:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

55%11 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 11 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

  1. at WSH, 2026-03-16: 1, cleared, 32 min
  2. at BOS, 2026-03-18: 2, cleared, 25 min
  3. at DET, 2026-03-20: 1, cleared, 28 min
  4. at ATL, 2026-03-21: 1, cleared, 31 min
  5. at DAL, 2026-03-23: 1, cleared, 12 min
  6. vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 1, cleared, 20 min
  7. vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 0, missed, 25 min
  8. vs SA, 2026-04-01: 0, missed, 26 min
  9. vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 1, cleared, 17 min
  10. vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 6 min
  11. at SAC, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 3 min
  12. at LAC, 2026-04-12: 1, cleared, 20 min
  13. at LAL, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 20 min
  14. vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 3 min
  15. at PHX, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 31 min
  16. at DEN, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 3 min
  17. at MIN, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 23 min
  18. vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 13 min
  19. vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 22 min
  20. vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 28 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • YesterdayTeammate out

    Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)

    Over 0.5 without him: 29 of 44; with him: 20 of 33 (77 games as teammates)

  • YesterdayDefense vs guards

    MIA allow 3.1 steals a game to guards: 28th most of 30

    8 games

  • Teammate out

    Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)

    Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: 10 of 13 (29 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Moses Moody: Out (knee)

    Over 0.5 without him: 15 of 24; with him: 34 of 53 (77 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

  • Stephen CurryG

  • Yaxel LendeborgF

  • Jimmy Butler IIIFOut

  • Kristaps PorzingisCOut

  • Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Steals: 2 in 26 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 0.5

Average
0.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
1
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
55%
11 of 20
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Minutes
19.4
20 games · 20 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
pick'em onlypick'em only11/20
Compare 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

Will Richard's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:09 PM ET.