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Will Richard

Golden State Warriors · G · #3

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price +1796 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

20%4 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 4 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

  1. at WSH, 2026-03-16: 0, missed, 32 min
  2. at BOS, 2026-03-18: 0, missed, 25 min
  3. at DET, 2026-03-20: 1, missed, 28 min
  4. at ATL, 2026-03-21: 1, missed, 31 min
  5. at DAL, 2026-03-23: 4, cleared, 12 min
  6. vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 1, missed, 20 min
  7. vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 2, cleared, 25 min
  8. vs SA, 2026-04-01: 0, missed, 26 min
  9. vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 0, missed, 17 min
  10. vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 6 min
  11. at SAC, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 3 min
  12. at LAC, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 20 min
  13. at LAL, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 20 min
  14. vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 3 min
  15. at PHX, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 31 min
  16. at DEN, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 3 min
  17. at MIN, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 23 min
  18. vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 13 min
  19. vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 22 min
  20. vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 28 min
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayTeammate out

    Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)

    Over 1.5 without him: 10 of 44; with him: 8 of 33 (77 games as teammates)

  • TodayDefense vs guards

    MIA allow 10.5 threes made a game to guards: 2nd most of 30

    8 games

  • Teammate out

    Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)

    Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 16; with him: 3 of 13 (29 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Moses Moody: Out (knee)

    Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 24; with him: 15 of 53 (77 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

  • Stephen CurryG

  • Yaxel LendeborgF

  • Jimmy Butler IIIFOut

  • Kristaps PorzingisCOut

  • Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

3-Pointers Made: 1 in 26 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 1.5

Average
0.8
−0.7 vs line
Median
0
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
20%
4 of 20
Price implies
36%
at +179
Books’ fair
36%
margin removed
Minutes
19.4
20 games · 20 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 36%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−2426 books+1553 books9/20
+1796 books−2252 books4/20
+5256 books—2/20
+14003 books—1/20
+28002 books—0/20
+45001 book—0/20
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Bally Bet5 min ago+195Best—
betPARX5 min ago+195Best—
BetRivers5 min ago+195Best—
DraftKings5 min ago+179—
FanDuel1 min ago+162−225
Bovada5 min ago+160−215Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 12:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

+164 → +179 since first seen

Will Richard's full game log and splits