Will Richard

Golden State Warriors · G · #3

MIA @ GS · Thu, Nov 5 10:00 PM

Over Under9.5

—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

40%8 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 9.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 8 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at WSH, 2026-03-16: 5, missed, 32 min
at BOS, 2026-03-18: 11, cleared, 25 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 12, cleared, 28 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 15, cleared, 31 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 13, cleared, 12 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 5, missed, 20 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 12, cleared, 25 min
vs SA, 2026-04-01: 9, missed, 26 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 2, missed, 17 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 1, missed, 6 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 2, missed, 3 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 3, missed, 20 min
at LAL, 2026-10-21: 14, cleared, 20 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 3 min
at PHX, 2026-10-24: 12, cleared, 31 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 3 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 9, missed, 23 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 8, missed, 13 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 6, missed, 22 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 11, cleared, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 9.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 9.5 without him: 18 of 44; with him: 17 of 33 (77 games as teammates)
YesterdayDefense vs guards
MIA allow 105.4 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: the most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 9.5 without him: 6 of 16; with him: 6 of 13 (29 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 9.5 without him: 9 of 24; with him: 26 of 53 (77 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 9.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 9.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 9.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Pts+Reb+Ast: 15 in 26 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 9.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 9.5

Average: 7.5; −2 vs line
Median: 8.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 8 of 20
Price implies: —; 1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Minutes: 19.4; 20 games · 20 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	pick'em only	pick'em only	8/20
	pick'em only	pick'em only	6/20

Compare 1 pick'em app at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

11.5 → 9.5 since we started recording it

Will Richard's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:09 PM ET.