VJ Edgecombe
PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs guards
DET allow 11.4 rebounds a game to guards: 29th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 5.5 without him: 12 of 19; with him: 41 of 74 (93 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33 min · 2025–26: 35.3 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI
Game log against Over 5.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2.6–10.2 rebounds.
Splits
Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DET in his last 10; Over 5.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 5.5 · L10Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DET
Edgecombe didn't play the Oct 25 meeting; rebounds the last time Edgecombe faced them: 6 (Apr 4)
Over 5.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against DET on record
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 6.8
- +1.3 vs line
- Median
- 7
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −107
- Books’ fair
- 47%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −129
Research, not a pick. At +105 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −129, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11022 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −4355 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1812 books | +1401 book | 8/10 | |
| −1076 books | −1255 books | 7/10 | |
| +1872 books | −2601 book | 6/10 | |
| +2705 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +5361 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | +105Best | −135 |
| DraftKings14 min ago | +103 | −136 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −106 | −125 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −109 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −109 | −122Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −110 | −124 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5−106 → −107 since first seen