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VJ Edgecombe

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #77

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM
OverUnder10.5
Over 10.5 Points, typical price −1144 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightDefense vs guards

    DET allow 44.4 points a game to guards: 28th most of 30

    7 games

  • Teammate out

    Dominick Barlow: Out (back)

    Over 10.5 without him: 13 of 19; with him: 53 of 74 (93 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 33 min · 2025–26: 35.3 (86 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI

Game log against Over 10.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 10.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

  1. at NY, 2026-05-06: 17, cleared, 40 min
  2. vs NY, 2026-05-08: 11, cleared, 40 min
  3. vs NY, 2026-05-10: 8, missed, 30 min
  4. at NY, 2026-10-20: 9, missed, 35 min
  5. vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 11, cleared, 33 min
  6. vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 17, cleared, 30 min
  7. at IND, 2026-10-28: 8, missed, 29 min
  8. vs NY, 2026-10-30: 13, cleared, 36 min
  9. at CHA, 2026-10-31: 10, missed, 37 min
  10. vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 21, cleared, 33 min
ClearedMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3.5–22.6 points.

Splits

Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 10.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 10.5 · L10

  • Tyrese MaxeyG

  • Joel EmbiidC

  • Jaylen BrownG

  • Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Edgecombe didn't play the Oct 25 meeting; points the last time Edgecombe faced them: 19 (Apr 4)

Over 10.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 10.5

Average
12.5
+2 vs line
Median
11
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
56%
estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −129, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−15001 book—10/10
−2953 books—10/10
−1554 books—7/10
−1144 books−1173 books6/10
+1153 books—4/10
+1953 books—3/10
+2801 book—3/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 10.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 10.5Under 10.5
Bally Bet9 min ago−114Best—
betPARX5 min ago−114Best−117
BetRivers5 min ago−115−118
FanDuel3 min ago−122−108Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

Over −122 → −114 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%
VJ Edgecombe's full game log and splits