VJ Edgecombe

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #77

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1064 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 16.5 without him: 15 of 19; with him: 50 of 74 (93 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33 min · 2025–26: 35.3 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI
Game lines
PHI +2.5 · total 217.5 (4 sportsbooks)
PHI's games this season closed at 230.4 on average (8 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

at NY, 2026-05-06: 22, cleared, 40 min
vs NY, 2026-05-08: 18, cleared, 40 min
vs NY, 2026-05-10: 14, missed, 30 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 13, missed, 35 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 18, cleared, 33 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 30, cleared, 30 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 15, missed, 29 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 21, cleared, 36 min
at CHA, 2026-10-31: 18, cleared, 37 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 24, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 8.3–30.4 pts+reb.

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 16.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Edgecombe didn't play the Oct 25 meeting; pts+reb the last time Edgecombe faced them: 25 (Apr 4)

Over 16.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 16.5

Average: 19.3; +2.8 vs line
Median: 18; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1753 books	—	8/10
−1064 books	−1242 books	7/10
+1903 books	—	4/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	−106Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−106Best	−129
BetRivers5 min ago	−106Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	−110	−120Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:04 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

Over −110 → −106 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

VJ Edgecombe's full game log and splits