VJ Edgecombe

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #77

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Rebounds, typical price −1061 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs guards
DET allow 11.4 rebounds a game to guards: 29th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 5.5 without him: 12 of 19; with him: 41 of 74 (93 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33 min · 2025–26: 35.3 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI

70%7 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

at NY, 2026-05-06: 5, missed, 40 min
vs NY, 2026-05-08: 7, cleared, 40 min
vs NY, 2026-05-10: 6, cleared, 30 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 4, missed, 35 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 7, cleared, 33 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 13, cleared, 30 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 7, cleared, 29 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 8, cleared, 36 min
at CHA, 2026-10-31: 8, cleared, 37 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 lineMinutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2.6–10.2 rebounds.

Count only

Over 5.5 · L10

With or without

Over 5.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Edgecombe didn't play the Oct 25 meeting; rebounds the last time Edgecombe faced them: 6 (Apr 4)

Over 5.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 5.5

Average: 6.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 7; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −106 the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5001 book	—	9/10
−1061 book	−1251 book	7/10
+3201 book	—	3/10
+8701 book	—	1/10
+25001 book	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−106Best	−125Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:23 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

VJ Edgecombe's full game log and splits