VJ Edgecombe

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #77

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under10.5

Over 10.5 Points, typical price −1144 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs guards
DET allow 44.4 points a game to guards: 28th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 10.5 without him: 13 of 19; with him: 53 of 74 (93 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33 min · 2025–26: 35.3 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI

60%6 of 10L10

Over 10.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

at NY, 2026-05-06: 17, cleared, 40 min
vs NY, 2026-05-08: 11, cleared, 40 min
vs NY, 2026-05-10: 8, missed, 30 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 9, missed, 35 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 11, cleared, 33 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 17, cleared, 30 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 8, missed, 29 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 13, cleared, 36 min
at CHA, 2026-10-31: 10, missed, 37 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 21, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3.5–22.6 points.

Splits

Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 10.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 10.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Edgecombe didn't play the Oct 25 meeting; points the last time Edgecombe faced them: 19 (Apr 4)

Over 10.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 10.5

Average: 12.5; +2 vs line
Median: 11; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −129, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−16001 book	—	10/10
−2953 books	—	10/10
−1554 books	—	7/10
−1144 books	−1173 books	6/10
+1163 books	—	4/10
+1953 books	—	3/10
+2551 book	—	3/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 10.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 10.5	Under 10.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−114Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−114Best	−117
BetRivers6 min ago	−115	−118
FanDuel5 min ago	−125	−106Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:48 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

Over −122 → −114 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

VJ Edgecombe's full game log and splits