VJ Edgecombe
PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs guards
DET allow 44.4 points a game to guards: 28th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 10.5 without him: 13 of 19; with him: 53 of 74 (93 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33 min · 2025–26: 35.3 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI
Game log against Over 10.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 10.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3.5–22.6 points.
Splits
Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DET in his last 10; Over 10.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 10.5 · L10Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DET
Edgecombe didn't play the Oct 25 meeting; points the last time Edgecombe faced them: 19 (Apr 4)
Over 10.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against DET on record
L10 · Over 10.5
- Average
- 12.5
- +2 vs line
- Median
- 11
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −130
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −130, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2954 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2301 book | +1701 book | 8/10 | |
| −1546 books | +1251 book | 7/10 | |
| −1156 books | −1105 books | 6/10 | |
| +1165 books | −1451 book | 4/10 | |
| +1451 book | −1901 book | 4/10 | |
| +1954 books | −2601 book | 3/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 10.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 10.5 | Under 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −114Best | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | −114Best | −117 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −115 | −118 |
| DraftKings9 min ago | −116 | −110 |
| Bovada3 min ago | −120 | −110 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −125 | −106Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
10.5Over −122 → −115 since first seen


