Tyrese Maxey
PHI @ DET · LiveGame log against Over 27.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 27.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 18.1–39.5 pts+reb.
What's different yesterday
Over 27.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 27.5 without him: 19 of 21; with him: 44 of 68 (89 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 36.4 min · 2026–27: 37.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
DET 28th, PHI 15th of 30
Splits
Over 27.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 27.5 · L10Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DET
Pts+Reb: 34 in 34 min, Oct 25 (home)
Over 27.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against DET on record
L10 · Over 27.5
- Average
- 30.4
- +2.9 vs line
- Median
- 31.5
- +4 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −138
Research, not a pick. At −116 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −138, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −30001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −6301 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −2112 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1202 books | −1131 book | 8/10 | |
| +1202 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +2802 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +7101 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 27.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 27.5 | Under 27.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings23 hr ago | −116Best | −113Best |
| Bally Bet23 hr ago | −120 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
27.526.5 → 27.5 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.


