Tyrese Maxey

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #0

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under22.5

Over 22.5 Points, typical price −1243 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs guards
DET allow 44.4 points a game to guards: 28th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 22.5 without him: 19 of 21; with him: 47 of 68 (89 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 36.4 min · 2026–27: 37.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI

80%8 of 10L10

Over 22.5 Points cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 on the road).

vs NY, 2026-05-08: 17, missed, 44 min
vs NY, 2026-05-10: 17, missed, 33 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 28, cleared, 40 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 32, cleared, 42 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 26, cleared, 36 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 29, cleared, 34 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 27, cleared, 36 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 27, cleared, 38 min
at CHA, 2026-10-31: 38, cleared, 38 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 26, cleared, 36 min

ClearedMissedThe 22.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 15.7–34.2 points.

Splits

Over 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 22.5 · L10

Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Points: 29 in 34 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 22.5 hit in 7 of 9 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 22.5

Average: 26.7; +4.2 vs line
Median: 27; +4.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −124
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −154

Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −154, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3753 books	—	8/10
−2354 books	—	8/10
−1523 books	—	8/10
−1243 books	−1082 books	8/10
−1034 books	−1251 book	8/10
+1221 book	—	8/10
+1403 books	—	8/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 22.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 22.5	Under 22.5
Bally Bet7 min ago	−124Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−124Best	−108Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−125	−109
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:56 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

23.5 → 22.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Tyrese Maxey's full game log and splits