Tyrese Maxey
PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Under 2.5 without him: 7 of 21; with him: 33 of 68 (89 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
DET allow 6.7 threes made a game to guards: 22nd most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36.4 min · 2026–27: 37.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI
Game log against Under 2.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DET
3-Pointers Made: 1 in 34 min, Oct 25 (home)
Under 2.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against DET on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −150
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −132
Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −132, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −18001 book | — | 0/10 | |
| −2654 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +1104 books | −1503 books | 6/10 | |
| +2554 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +5254 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +14001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| +30001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX1 min ago | +110 | −148Best |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +110 | −150 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +114Best | −152 |
| Bally Bet1 min ago | +110 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under −152 → −150 since first seen


