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Tyrese Maxey

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #0

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM
OverUnder2.5
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1504 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    Dominick Barlow: Out (back)

    Under 2.5 without him: 7 of 21; with him: 33 of 68 (89 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs guards

    DET allow 6.7 threes made a game to guards: 22nd most of 30

    7 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 36.4 min · 2026–27: 37.5 (8 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI

Game log against Under 2.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).

  1. vs NY, 2026-05-08: 1, hit, 44 min
  2. vs NY, 2026-05-10: 1, hit, 33 min
  3. at NY, 2026-10-20: 2, hit, 40 min
  4. vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 2, hit, 42 min
  5. vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 36 min
  6. vs DET, 2026-10-25: 1, hit, 34 min
  7. at IND, 2026-10-28: 3, missed, 36 min
  8. vs NY, 2026-10-30: 3, missed, 38 min
  9. at CHA, 2026-10-31: 4, missed, 38 min
  10. vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 36 min
Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10
  • Joel EmbiidC

  • Jaylen BrownG

  • LeBron JamesF

  • Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

3-Pointers Made: 1 in 34 min, Oct 25 (home)

Under 2.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against DET on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average
2.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
2
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
60%
at −150
Books’ fair
56%
margin removed
Our chance
57%
estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −132, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−18001 book—0/10
−2654 books—4/10
+1104 books−1503 books6/10
+2554 books—8/10
+5254 books—10/10
+14001 book—10/10
+30001 book—10/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
betPARX1 min ago+110−148Best
BetRivers1 min ago+110−150
FanDuel1 min ago+114Best−152
Bally Bet1 min ago+110—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under −152 → −150 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%
Tyrese Maxey's full game log and splits