Trey Murphy III

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #25

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Blocks, typical price −2103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Blocks hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at NY, 2026-03-24: 0, hit, 36 min
at POR, 2026-04-02: 0, hit, 36 min
at SAC, 2026-04-03: 2, missed, 32 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 32 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 31 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 37 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 30 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 32 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 29 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 40 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 blocks.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 11 of 14; with him: 39 of 59 (73 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 2.8 blocks a game to forwards: 5th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 35.5 (66 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
III sat the last game (Nov 4)

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

III didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; blocks the last time III faced them: 1 (Feb 6)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against MIN on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 68%; at −210
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −180

Research, not a pick. At −210 the price is worse than our fair −180, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1503 books	−2101 book	8/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
betPARX5 min ago	+150Best	−210Best
Bally Bet4 min ago	+150Best	—
BetRivers6 min ago	+150Best	—

Prices as of 1:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Trey Murphy III's full game log and splits