Trevon Brazile
TOR @ DEN · LiveGame log against Over 1.5
67%4 of 6L6
Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 4 of his last 6 games (2 of 3 at home).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 steals+blocks.
What's different yesterday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
DeMar DeRozan: Out (back)
Over 1.5 without him: no games; with him: 4 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 22.8 min · 2026–27: 22 (6 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR
Splits
Over 1.5 · L6 · counts, not in orderNo game against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L6Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
Aaron GordonF
DeMar DeRozanGOut
Spencer JonesFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TOR
Brazile didn't play the Mar 20 meeting
L6 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 67%
- 4 of 6
- Price implies
- 36%
- at +180
- Books’ fair
- —
- no Under posted
- Our chance
- 49%
- estimate · fair +104
Research, not a pick. At +180 the price beats our fair +104, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L6| Line | Over | L6 |
|---|---|---|
| −2301 book | 4/6 | |
| +1801 book | 4/6 | |
| +5001 book | 1/6 |
Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ steals+blocks”), with no Under to take.
Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Bally Bet14 hr ago | +180Best |
Prices as of 9:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5+175 → +180 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 9:12 PM ET.


