Trevon Brazile

Denver Nuggets · F · #7

TOR @ DEN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under9.5

Over 9.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 9.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 22.8 min · 2026–27: 22 (6 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR
Game lines
DEN −4.5 · total 230.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 236.2 on average (6 games)

67%4 of 6L6

Over 9.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 4 of his last 6 games (2 of 3 at home).

at OKC, 2026-10-22: 16, cleared, 18 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 26, cleared, 28 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 7, missed, 17 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 19, cleared, 32 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 9, missed, 19 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 11, cleared, 18 min

ClearedMissedThe 9.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.9–24.2 pts+reb.

Splits

Over 9.5 · L6 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 9.5 · L6

Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
Aaron GordonF
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Brazile didn't play the Mar 20 meeting

L6 · Over 9.5

Average: 14.7; +5.2 vs line
Median: 13.5; +4 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 4 of 6
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −155

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −155, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L6

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L6
−8701 book	—	6/6
−1142 books	−1152 books	4/6
+3641 book	—	3/6
+12001 book	—	1/6

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
DraftKings9 min ago	−114Best	−115
FanDuel5 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

Over −118 → −114 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Trevon Brazile's full game log and splits