Tre Jones
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 5.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 7 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2.4–11.7 reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 6.8
- +1.3 vs line
- Median
- 7.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −124
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −143
Research, not a pick. At −121 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −143, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2103 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1244 books | −1052 books | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +5103 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers13 hr ago | −121Best | — |
| Bally Bet13 hr ago | −124 | — |
| betPARX13 hr ago | −124 | −108 |
| FanDuel13 hr ago | −125 | −102Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.