Tre Jones
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 12.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 12.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 7 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 7.8–27.5 pts+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 12.5
- Average
- 18.1
- +5.6 vs line
- Median
- 15
- +2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −164
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −164, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2653 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1204 books | −1132 books | 8/10 | |
| +1303 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 12.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 12.5 | Under 12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel10 hr ago | −114Best | −114 |
| BetRivers10 hr ago | −120 | — |
| Bally Bet10 hr ago | −121 | — |
| betPARX10 hr ago | −121 | −113Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
12.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.