Tre Jones
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 8.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 8.5 Points cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 7 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 5.1–22.9 points.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 8.5
- Average
- 14.5
- +6 vs line
- Median
- 11.5
- +3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −126
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 64%
- estimate · fair −174
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −174, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3754 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2472 books | +1851 book | 9/10 | |
| −1805 books | +1301 book | 9/10 | |
| −1266 books | −1105 books | 8/10 | |
| −1035 books | −1501 book | 8/10 | |
| +1562 books | −2101 book | 7/10 | |
| +1654 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel11 hr ago | −115Best | −111 |
| Pinnacle11 hr ago | −117 | −113 |
| Bovada11 hr ago | −120 | −110 |
| Bally Bet11 hr ago | −132 | — |
| betPARX11 hr ago | −132 | +100Best |
| BetRivers11 hr ago | −132 | −104 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.