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Scoot Henderson
POR @ DENTrail Blazers @ Nuggets · Today 9:00 PM ET
The line
Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
Typical price −1295 sportsbooksbest −125
Game log
Under 20.5Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 6.4–26.1 pts+reb+ast.
Home and away
L10 · Under 20.5Home
75%
3 of 4
Awaytonight
67%
4 of 6
L10 · Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
- Average
- 15.2
- −5.3 vs line
- Median
- 15.5
- −5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- −129, 5 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −158
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −158, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 5 sportsbooks at 20.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 20.5 | Under 20.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada10 min ago | −105 | −125Best |
| DraftKings14 min ago | −105 | −125Best |
| betPARX10 min ago | +100Best | −134 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +100Best | −136 |
| Bally Bet10 min ago | +100Best | — |
Prices as of 8:22 PM ET.
Every posted line
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −24001 book | — | 4/10 | |
| −4205 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −2101 book | +1551 book | 5/10 | |
| −1651 book | +1251 book | 7/10 | |
| −1246 books | −1062 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 | |
| +1005 books | −1294 books | 7/10 | |
| +1151 book | −1501 book | 7/10 | |
| +2205 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +5802 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +13592 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +29192 books | — | 10/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+2%