Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers · G · #00

POR @ DENTrail Blazers @ Nuggets · Today 9:00 PM ET

The line

Under 3.5 Assists

−1587 sportsbooksbest −155

Game log

Under 3.5

Under 3.5 Assists hit in 10 of his last 10 games (6 of 6 on the road).

at SA: 3, hit
at SA: 0, hit
vs SA: 1, hit
vs SA: 2, hit
at SA: 0, hit
vs PHX: 1, hit
at SAC: 2, hit
at LAL: 3, hit
vs MEM: 0, hit
at UTAH: 1, hit

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 assists.

Home and away

L10 · Under 3.5

Home

100%

4 of 4

Awaytonight

100%

6 of 6

L10 · Under 3.5 Assists

Average: 1.3; −2.2 vs line
Median: 1; −2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 100%; 10 of 10
Price implies: 61%; −158, 7 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 68%; estimate · fair −215

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At −155 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −215, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
betPARX7 min ago	+115	−155Best
BetRivers2 min ago	+115	−157
DraftKings11 min ago	+119	−157
Bovada7 min ago	+120	−160
FanDuel1 min ago	+132Best	−170
Pinnacle8 min ago	+130	−174
Bally Bet7 min ago	+115	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:27 PM ET.

Every posted line

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7154 books	—	6/10
−2056 books	+1501 book	8/10
+1197 books	−1586 books	10/10
+2456 books	—	10/10
+4805 books	—	10/10
+8505 books	—	10/10
+19382 books	—	10/10
+29001 book	—	10/10
+40001 book	—	10/10