Rudy Gobert

Minnesota Timberwolves · C · #27

MIN @ HOU · Tomorrow 8:30 PM

Over Under11.5

Under 11.5 Rebounds, typical price −1315 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Under 11.5 without him: 7 of 23; with him: 45 of 82 (105 games as teammates)
TonightDefense vs centers
HOU allow 6.5 rebounds a game to centers: 28th most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Under 11.5 without him: 9 of 15; with him: 43 of 90 (105 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 29.6 min · 2025–26: 31.3 (88 games)

50%3 of 6L20 · Without Edwards

Under 11.5 Rebounds hit in 3 of 6 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).

at IND, 2026-04-07: 12, missed, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-04-18: 10, hit, 38 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-04-20: 7, hit, 28 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-04-23: 12, missed, 36 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-04-25: 15, missed, 36 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-04-27: 7, hit, 29 min
vs DEN, 2026-04-30: 13, missed, 42 min
at SA, 2026-05-04: 10, hit, 30 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-06: 10, hit, 28 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-08: 7, hit, 31 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-10: 13, missed, 30 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-12: 5, hit, 23 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-15: 3, hit, 22 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-21: 15, missed, 33 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-10-23: 9, hit, 30 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-10-25: 13, missed, 31 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-10-26: 20, missed, 36 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-10-28: 4, hit, 20 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-30: 13, missed, 30 min
vs MIL, 2026-11-02: 10, hit, 31 min

Under hitMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 4.7–15 rebounds.

Splits

Under 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against HOU in his last 20; Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 5 against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 11.5 · L20

Anthony EdwardsGOut
LaMelo BallG
Jaden McDanielsF
Donte DiVincenzoGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs HOU

Gobert didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; rebounds the last time Gobert faced them: 14 (Mar 25)

Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against HOU on record

L20 · Without Edwards · Under 11.5

Average: 9.8; −1.7 vs line
Median: 11; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 3 of 6
Price implies: 57%; at −131
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −127 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Edwards

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−3471 book	—	2/6
−2305 books	—	2/6
−1441 book	pick'em only	3/6
−1065 books	−1314 books	3/6
+1491 book	—	4/6
+1955 books	—	6/6
+3051 book	—	6/6

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
betPARX2 min ago	−106	−127Best
BetRivers2 min ago	−106	−129
DraftKings14 min ago	+101	−133
FanDuel1 min ago	+116Best	−154
Bally Bet6 min ago	−106	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:52 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

−132 → −131 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Rudy Gobert's full game log and splits