Rudy Gobert

Minnesota Timberwolves · C · #27

MIN @ HOU · Tomorrow 8:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Blocks, typical price −2501 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 21 of 23; with him: 58 of 82 (105 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 15; with him: 70 of 90 (105 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
HOU allow 1.1 blocks a game to centers: 16th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 29.6 min · 2025–26: 31.3 (88 games)

67%4 of 6L20 · Without Edwards

Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 4 of 6 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).

at IND, 2026-04-07: 2, cleared, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-04-18: 0, missed, 38 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-04-20: 0, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-04-23: 3, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-04-25: 2, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 29 min
vs DEN, 2026-04-30: 2, cleared, 42 min
at SA, 2026-05-04: 1, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-06: 0, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-08: 3, cleared, 31 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-10: 1, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-12: 1, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-15: 0, missed, 22 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 33 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 30 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 31 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 20 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 30 min
vs MIL, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 blocks.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against HOU in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 5 of 5 against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Anthony EdwardsGOut
LaMelo BallG
Jaden McDanielsF
Donte DiVincenzoGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs HOU

Gobert didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; blocks the last time Gobert faced them: 5 (Mar 25)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against HOU on record

L20 · Without Edwards · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 4 of 6
Price implies: 71%; at −250
Books’ fair: 67%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −168

Research, not a pick. At −250 the price is worse than our fair −168, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Edwards

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2501 book	+1821 book	4/6
+1941 book	—	2/6
+6301 book	—	0/6
+14001 book	—	0/6

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−250Best	+182Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −240 → −250 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Rudy Gobert's full game log and splits