Rudy Gobert
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 23.5
67%4 of 6L20 · Without Edwards
Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 4 of 6 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 10.3–29.5 pts+reb+ast.
What's different today
Under 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pick4 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Anthony Edwards playing; Edwards is out today. Without him: Under 23.5 in 9 of 24.
TodayTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Under 23.5 without him: 9 of 24; with him: 46 of 82 (106 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Out (hip)
Under 23.5 without him: 22 of 46; with him: 33 of 60 (106 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Under 23.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 44 of 90 (106 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
NO allow 28.0 points + rebounds + assists a game to centers: 11th most of 30
8 games
Splits
Under 23.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against NO in his last 20; Under 23.5 hit in 1 of 6 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 23.5 · L20Anthony EdwardsGOut
LaMelo BallG
Jaden McDanielsF
Terrence Shannon Jr.GOut
Donte DiVincenzoGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NO
Gobert didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+reb+ast the last time Gobert faced them: 30 (Feb 6)
Under 23.5 hit in 1 of 6 games against NO on record
L20 · Without Edwards · Under 23.5
- Average
- 19.5
- −4 vs line
- Median
- 21
- −2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 67%
- 4 of 6
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −130
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −151
Research, not a pick. At −123 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Edwards| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1851 book | +1401 book | 2/6 | |
| −1501 book | +1151 book | 4/6 | |
| −1201 book | −1101 book | 4/6 | |
| −1037 books | −1306 books | 4/6 | |
| +1205 books | −1651 book | 4/6 | |
| +3105 books | — | 5/6 | |
| +9002 books | — | 6/6 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 23.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 23.5 | Under 23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings8 min ago | −107 | −123Best |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −102 | −125 |
| Pinnacle8 min ago | −103 | −129 |
| Bovada8 min ago | +100Best | −130 |
| betPARX4 min ago | −103 | −132 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −103 | −132 |
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −103 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
23.522.5 → 23.5 since first seen