Rudy Gobert
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 11.5
67%4 of 6L20 · Without Edwards
Under 11.5 Rebounds hit in 4 of 6 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.4–15.1 rebounds.
What's different today
Under 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Under 11.5 without him: 8 of 24; with him: 45 of 82 (106 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Out (hip)
Under 11.5 without him: 25 of 46; with him: 28 of 60 (106 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Under 11.5 without him: 10 of 16; with him: 43 of 90 (106 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
NO allow 9.9 rebounds a game to centers: 15th most of 30
8 games
Splits
Under 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against NO in his last 20; Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 6 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 11.5 · L20Anthony EdwardsGOut
LaMelo BallG
Jaden McDanielsF
Terrence Shannon Jr.GOut
Donte DiVincenzoGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NO
Gobert didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; rebounds the last time Gobert faced them: 16 (Feb 6)
Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against NO on record
L20 · Without Edwards · Under 11.5
- Average
- 9.7
- −1.8 vs line
- Median
- 10.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 67%
- 4 of 6
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −131
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −134
Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −134, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Edwards| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2406 books | +2051 book | 2/6 | |
| −1555 books | +1301 book | 3/6 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/6 | |
| −1067 books | −1316 books | 4/6 | |
| +1355 books | −1851 book | 4/6 | |
| +1906 books | −2901 book | 6/6 | |
| +2655 books | — | 6/6 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada5 min ago | −110 | −120Best |
| betPARX4 min ago | −106 | −129 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −106 | −129 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −101 | −131 |
| FanDuel5 min ago | +102 | −136 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | +106Best | −140 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −106 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:05 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5−154 → −131 since first seen