Rudy Gobert
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 21.5
67%4 of 6L20 · Without Edwards
Under 21.5 Pts+Reb hit in 4 of 6 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 8.9–27 pts+reb.
What's different today
Under 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick4 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Anthony Edwards playing; Edwards is out today. Without him: Under 21.5 in 9 of 24.
TodayTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Under 21.5 without him: 9 of 24; with him: 45 of 82 (106 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Out (hip)
Under 21.5 without him: 21 of 46; with him: 33 of 60 (106 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Under 21.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 43 of 90 (106 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30 min · 2026–27: 30.5 (8 games)
Splits
Under 21.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against NO in his last 20; Under 21.5 hit in 2 of 6 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 21.5 · L20Anthony EdwardsGOut
LaMelo BallG
Jaden McDanielsF
Terrence Shannon Jr.GOut
Donte DiVincenzoGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NO
Gobert didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+reb the last time Gobert faced them: 28 (Feb 6)
Under 21.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against NO on record
L20 · Without Edwards · Under 21.5
- Average
- 16.5
- −5 vs line
- Median
- 19.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 67%
- 4 of 6
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −147
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −147, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Edwards| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6705 books | — | 2/6 | |
| −1675 books | +1301 book | 3/6 | |
| −1351 book | +1051 book | 4/6 | |
| −1106 books | −1204 books | 4/6 | |
| +1755 books | — | 6/6 | |
| +5002 books | — | 6/6 | |
| +12002 books | — | 6/6 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 21.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 21.5 | Under 21.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | −111 | −115Best |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −112 | −118 |
| Bovada4 min ago | −110 | −120 |
| betPARX4 min ago | −108Best | −127 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −108Best | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −108Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
21.520.5 → 21.5 since first seen