Rudy Gobert
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 11.5
67%4 of 6L20 · Without Edwards
Under 11.5 Pts+Ast hit in 4 of 6 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1.9–17.5 pts+ast.
What's different today
Under 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick5 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Anthony Edwards playing; Edwards is out today. Without him: Under 11.5 in 12 of 24.
TodayTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Under 11.5 without him: 12 of 24; with him: 43 of 82 (106 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Out (hip)
Under 11.5 without him: 23 of 46; with him: 32 of 60 (106 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Under 11.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 44 of 90 (106 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30 min · 2026–27: 30.5 (8 games)
Splits
Under 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against NO in his last 20; Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 6 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 11.5 · L20Anthony EdwardsGOut
LaMelo BallG
Jaden McDanielsF
Terrence Shannon Jr.GOut
Donte DiVincenzoGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NO
Gobert didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+ast the last time Gobert faced them: 14 (Feb 6)
Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against NO on record
L20 · Without Edwards · Under 11.5
- Average
- 9.8
- −1.7 vs line
- Median
- 10.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 67%
- 4 of 6
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −121
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Edwards| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −34001 book | — | 1/6 | |
| −2155 books | +1501 book | 2/6 | |
| −1451 book | +1101 book | 3/6 | |
| −1126 books | −1214 books | 4/6 | |
| +2055 books | — | 5/6 | |
| +8002 books | — | 6/6 | |
| +23002 books | — | 6/6 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −132 | +100Best |
| DraftKings2 min ago | −116 | −113 |
| betPARX1 min ago | −112 | −121 |
| Bovada2 min ago | −105Best | −125 |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −112 | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −112 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:05 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5Under: −106 → −121 since first seen