Precious Achiuwa

Sacramento Kings · F · #9

LAL @ SAC · Live

Over Under9.5

Over 9.5 Points, typical price −1183 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

57%4 of 7L20 · Without Raynaud

Over 9.5 Points cleared in 4 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).

vs UTAH, 2026-03-15: 20, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-03-17: 10, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-19: 12, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs BKN, 2026-03-22: 14, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-03-26: 14, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
at ATL, 2026-03-28: 16, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-29: 16, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-04-01: 28, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-04-03: 12, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-04-05: 8, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at GS, 2026-04-07: 13, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-04-10: 5, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at POR, 2026-04-12: 27, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
at LAC, 2026-10-21: 15, cleared, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 14, cleared, 26 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 12, cleared, 39 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 4, missed, 14 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 24, cleared, 41 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 6, missed, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 6, missed, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 9.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 3.7–23.3 points.

What's different yesterday

Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 9.5 without him: 4 of 10; with him: 35 of 70 (80 games as teammates)
YesterdayMinutes
Last 5: 29.2 min · 2025–26: 24 (73 games) · up 22%
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 9.5 without him: 23 of 47; with him: 13 of 25 (72 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Daeqwon Plowden: Out (illness)
Over 9.5 without him: 16 of 43; with him: 23 of 37 (80 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 9.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against LAL in his last 20; Over 9.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against LAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 9.5 · L20

Darius Acuff Jr.G
Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Keegan MurrayFOut
Daeqwon PlowdenGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Points: 8 in 27 min, Mar 1 (away)

Over 9.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against LAL on record

L20 · Without Raynaud · Over 9.5

Average: 11.6; +2.1 vs line
Median: 12; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 4 of 7
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −145

Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −145, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−33351 book	—	7/7
−6402 books	—	6/7
−2712 books	—	4/7
−1183 books	−1251 book	4/7
+1021 book	−1301 book	4/7
+1332 books	—	4/7
+2751 book	—	3/7

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
Pinnacle21 hr ago	−106Best	−125Best
Bally Bet21 hr ago	−118	—
DraftKings21 hr ago	−138	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

Over: −128 → −118 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Precious Achiuwa's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.