Precious Achiuwa

Sacramento Kings · F · #9

LAL @ SAC · Live

Over Under1.5

—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

29%2 of 7L20 · Without Raynaud

Under 1.5 Steals hit in 2 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).

vs UTAH, 2026-03-15: 2, missed, 33 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-03-17: 0, hit, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-19: 0, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs BKN, 2026-03-22: 1, hit, 28 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-03-26: 2, missed, 34 min (not counted)
at ATL, 2026-03-28: 2, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-29: 1, hit, 34 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-04-01: 0, hit, 38 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-04-03: 2, missed, 25 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-04-05: 0, hit, 20 min (not counted)
at GS, 2026-04-07: 0, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-04-10: 2, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at POR, 2026-04-12: 0, hit, 35 min (not counted)
at LAC, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 26 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 39 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 14 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 3, missed, 41 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 27 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 steals.

What's different yesterday

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 4 of 10; with him: 52 of 70 (80 games as teammates)
YesterdayMinutes
Last 5: 29.2 min · 2025–26: 24 (73 games) · up 22%
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Under 1.5 without him: 32 of 47; with him: 17 of 25 (72 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Daeqwon Plowden: Out (illness)
Under 1.5 without him: 32 of 43; with him: 24 of 37 (80 games as teammates)

Splits

Under 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against LAL in his last 20; Under 1.5 hit in 5 of 5 against LAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L20

Darius Acuff Jr.G
Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Keegan MurrayFOut
Daeqwon PlowdenGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Steals: 1 in 27 min, Mar 1 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against LAL on record

L20 · Without Raynaud · Under 1.5

Average: 1.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 29%; 2 of 7
Price implies: —; 1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −146

Research, not a pick. No sportsbook prices the Under 1.5 right now; it's posted on 1 pick'em app. Our fair price is −146.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2951 book	—	1/7
+1481 book	pick'em only	2/7
+4301 book	—	6/7

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet3 hr ago	+148Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Precious Achiuwa's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.