Precious AchiuwaDay-To-Day

Sacramento Kings · F · #9

LAL @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under17.5

Over 17.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 17.5 without him: 4 of 10; with him: 30 of 70 (80 games as teammates)
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 29.2 min · 2025–26: 24 (73 games) · up 22%
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 17.5 without him: 23 of 47; with him: 9 of 25 (72 games as teammates)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at DAL

57%4 of 7L20 · Without Raynaud

Over 17.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 4 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).

vs UTAH, 2026-03-15: 31, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-03-17: 17, missed, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-19: 19, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs BKN, 2026-03-22: 29, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-03-26: 23, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
at ATL, 2026-03-28: 22, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-29: 24, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-04-01: 47, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-04-03: 19, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-04-05: 13, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at GS, 2026-04-07: 19, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-04-10: 11, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at POR, 2026-04-12: 38, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
at LAC, 2026-10-21: 20, cleared, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 20, cleared, 26 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 22, cleared, 39 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 5, missed, 14 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 33, cleared, 41 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 11, missed, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 16, missed, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 17.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 7.4–34.7 pts+reb.

Splits

Over 17.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against LAL in his last 20; Over 17.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against LAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 17.5 · L20

Darius Acuff Jr.G
Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Keegan MurrayFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Pts+Reb: 17 in 27 min, Mar 1 (away)

Over 17.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against LAL on record

L20 · Without Raynaud · Over 17.5

Average: 18.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 20; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 4 of 7
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −107 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −129, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−10801 book	—	6/7
−2191 book	—	5/7
−1142 books	−1232 books	4/7
+1461 book	—	4/7
+4021 book	—	1/7
+10601 book	—	1/7
+22001 book	—	0/7

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 17.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 17.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 17.5	Under 17.5
DraftKings13 min ago	−107Best	−123
FanDuel2 min ago	−114	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

17.5

Over: −110 → −114 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Precious Achiuwa's full game log and splits