Pelle Larsson

Miami Heat · G · #9

MIA @ LAC · Live

Over Under18.5

Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1113 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-07: 11, missed, 26 min
at TOR, 2026-04-09: 16, missed, 32 min
at WSH, 2026-04-10: 30, cleared, 27 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 9, missed, 24 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 10, missed, 29 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 26, cleared, 36 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 16, missed, 34 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 31, cleared, 31 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 24, cleared, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 14, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 18.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayDefense vs guards
LAC allow 102.9 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 3rd most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31 min · 2025–26: 26.5 (70 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
LAC 12th, MIA 3rd of 30

Splits

Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 18.5 cleared in 0 of 3 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 18.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoF
Bam AdebayoC
Davion MitchellG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAC

Pts+Reb+Ast: 8 in 8 min, Dec 1, 2025 (home)

Over 18.5 hit in 0 of 3 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 18.5

Average: 18.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 16; −2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −111
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.3; 10 games · 26.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2301 book	+1701 book	6/10
−1801 book	+1351 book	4/10
−1351 book	+1051 book	4/10
−1113 books	−1202 books	4/10
+1072 books	−1501 book	4/10
+3002 books	—	3/10
+9201 book	—	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 18.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 18.5	Under 18.5
Bovada18 hr ago	−110Best	−120
DraftKings18 hr ago	−111	−119Best
Bally Bet18 hr ago	−117	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

18.5

−120 → −111 since first seen

Pelle Larsson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:43 PM ET.