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Pelle Larsson

Miami Heat · G · #9

MIA @ LAC · Live
OverUnder6.5
Over 6.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1353 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 6.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 6.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).

  1. at TOR, 2026-04-07: 4, missed, 26 min
  2. at TOR, 2026-04-09: 6, missed, 32 min
  3. at WSH, 2026-04-10: 6, missed, 27 min
  4. vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 7, cleared, 24 min
  5. vs DET, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 29 min
  6. at CHA, 2026-10-24: 11, cleared, 36 min
  7. vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 4, missed, 34 min
  8. at ATL, 2026-10-28: 14, cleared, 31 min
  9. vs IND, 2026-10-30: 6, missed, 24 min
  10. at LAL, 2026-11-02: 5, missed, 30 min
ClearedMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Minutes

    Last 5: 31 min · 2025–26: 26.5 (70 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL

  • Pace · possessions a game · 7 games

    LAC 12th, MIA 3rd of 30

  • LAC injuries

    Brandon Ingram (F, Out, 31.5 min); Jordan Miller (G, Out, 23.9 min); Bradley Beal (G, Out, 20.2 min)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 1 more on the report

Splits

Over 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 6.5 cleared in 0 of 3 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 6.5 · L10
  • Giannis AntetokounmpoF

  • Bam AdebayoC

  • Davion MitchellG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAC

Reb+Ast: 3 in 8 min, Dec 1, 2025 (home)

Over 6.5 hit in 0 of 3 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 6.5

Average
6.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
6
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
57%
at −135
Books’ fair
54%
margin removed
Minutes
29.3
10 games · 26.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 6.5 54%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4752 books—7/10
−2451 book+1801 book6/10
−1353 books+1002 books3/10
+1202 books−1601 book2/10
+3102 books—2/10
+8001 book—1/10
+22001 book—0/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 6.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 6.5Under 6.5
DraftKings14 hr ago−132Best+100
Bovada14 hr ago−135+105Best
Bally Bet14 hr ago−136—

Prices as of 10:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

7.5 → 6.5 since first seen

Pelle Larsson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:43 PM ET.