Pelle Larsson

Miami Heat · G · #9

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under14.5

Over 14.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1256 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 14.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-09: 12, missed, 32 min
at WSH, 2026-04-10: 30, cleared, 27 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 6, missed, 24 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 8, missed, 29 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 19, cleared, 36 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 16, cleared, 34 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 25, cleared, 31 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 21, cleared, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 11, missed, 30 min
at LAC, 2026-11-04: 11, missed, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 14.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Heat played the day before (at LAC): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
Minutes
Last 5: 30.8 min · 2026–27: 30.4 (8 games)
Game lines
MIA +3.5 · total 236.5 (9 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)
Pace · possessions a game · 8 games
GS 22nd, MIA 3rd of 30

Splits

Over 14.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GS in his last 10; Over 14.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against GS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 14.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoF
Bam AdebayoC
Davion MitchellG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs GS

Pts+Ast: 12 in 28 min, Jan 19 (away)

Over 14.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against GS on record

L10 · Over 14.5

Average: 15.9; +1.4 vs line
Median: 14; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Minutes: 30.2; 10 games · 26.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 14.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5905 books	—	8/10
−1501 book	+1151 book	5/10
−1256 books	−1143 books	5/10
+1044 books	−1502 books	5/10
+2605 books	—	3/10
+5002 books	—	2/10
+18002 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 14.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 14.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 14.5	Under 14.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Bovada2 min ago	−115	−115
DraftKings2 min ago	−115	−114Best
Bally Bet2 min ago	−125	—
betPARX2 min ago	−125	—
BetRivers1 min ago	−125	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

14.5

16.5 → 14.5 since first seen

Pelle Larsson's full game log and splits