Pelle Larsson

Miami Heat · G · #9

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Assists, typical price −1057 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-09: 2, missed, 32 min
at WSH, 2026-04-10: 6, cleared, 27 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 4, cleared, 24 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 29 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 36 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 4, cleared, 34 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 8, cleared, 31 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 3, missed, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 30 min
at LAC, 2026-11-04: 4, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Heat played the day before (at LAC): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
Defense vs guards
GS allow 16.4 assists a game to guards: 9th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.8 min · 2026–27: 30.4 (8 games)
Game lines
MIA +3.5 · total 236.5 (8 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GS in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against GS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoF
Bam AdebayoC
Davion MitchellG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs GS

Assists: 3 in 28 min, Jan 19 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against GS on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 3.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −105
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 30.2; 10 games · 26.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−10004 books	—	9/10
−2956 books	+1751 book	7/10
−1057 books	−1286 books	6/10
+1656 books	—	2/10
+3205 books	—	2/10
+5756 books	—	1/10
+12802 books	—	1/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings3 min ago	+106Best	−140
Bovada3 min ago	+105	−135
FanDuel2 min ago	−104	−128
Pinnacle3 min ago	−105	−126
Bally Bet3 min ago	−125	—
betPARX3 min ago	−125	−108Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−125	−108Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:34 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

5.5 → 3.5 since first seen

Pelle Larsson's full game log and splits