Pelle Larsson

Miami Heat · G · #9

MIA @ LAC · Live

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Assists, typical price −1054 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-07: 1, missed, 26 min
at TOR, 2026-04-09: 2, missed, 32 min
at WSH, 2026-04-10: 6, cleared, 27 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 4, cleared, 24 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 29 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 36 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 4, cleared, 34 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 8, cleared, 31 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 3, missed, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
LAC allow 17.0 assists a game to guards: 4th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31 min · 2025–26: 26.5 (70 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
LAC 12th, MIA 3rd of 30

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 0 of 3 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoF
Bam AdebayoC
Davion MitchellG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAC

Assists: 2 in 8 min, Dec 1, 2025 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 0 of 3 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 3.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 3.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −105
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.3; 10 games · 26.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8351 book	—	8/10
−2504 books	+1901 book	6/10
−1054 books	−1263 books	5/10
+2054 books	−2801 book	2/10
+4002 books	—	2/10
+7504 books	—	1/10
+15001 book	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
Pinnacle17 hr ago	−101Best	−131
Bally Bet17 hr ago	−103	—
Bovada17 hr ago	−105	−125Best
DraftKings17 hr ago	−105	−126
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: −132 → −105 since first seen

Pelle Larsson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:43 PM ET.